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Sup fellow degens,
Well, well, well, What do we have here?
Kalshi odds hitting the Bloomberg terminal.
Kalshi is a licensed playground for gamblers, a regulated exchange and prediction market for future events, lets you bet on everything, from politics, inflation prints and Fed moves to sports or whether there will be an earthquake today. Anything, really.
It’s not necessarily surprising that it’s made its way to the terminal.
After all, Bloomberg lists everything a little bit regulated and halfway interesting.
But the timing’s so cute: we’re just entering that season where the macro data calendar looks like a casino schedule with all the US government shutdown in talks.
It’s not gambling,” they’ll say. “It’s data.”
And technically, they’re right. Just don’t look too hard at who’s making the markets.
Prices on Kalshi do reflect probabilities and in theory, a clever way to measure sentiment a lot of important topics.
But here’s the thing: if you peek behind the curtain, this “market” often looks less like a sophisticated macro signal and more like a cocktail of retail YOLOOOO bets, X polls, and existential dread.
The absurdity isn’t just that Bloomberg now shows Kalshi alongside Treasury yields and Eurodollar futures, it’s that some of those prices are now “legit data points” in macro models, even though a huge chunk of the market is driven by straight-up trolling.
Sure, most of the official market is already chaos, but now some hedge fund nerds might actually glance at these bets when building their next ‘serious’ macro model.
Why not troll the entire market a little bit?
I know it is ridiculous but yet, somehow, seeing Kalshi tickers on a Bloomberg Terminal makes it feel…official.
It’s like the financial elite are nodding in agreement at a market that’s mostly degenerates arguing over whose crypto penguin is stronger.
So yes, holy shit, it then becomes data. It IS data already.
But it’s also a reminder that financial markets, are clearly taking off their mask and proving that they are just a glorified betting pool for degen enthusiasts. However, now this degeneracy is neatly packaged, licensed, and fed straight into the world’s most expensive terminal.
TL;DR: Kalshi, the event futures site for betting chaos is now on Bloomberg. Prices technically show probabilities, but the market is mostly retail YOLOs, polls, and trolling. Now masquerading as “official” macro data.
Stay degen,
Dima
Who is Menace Dima?
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